July 10th, 2006, 9:11 am
We seem to agree 100%. I did solve the problem by computing year-on-year movements. However, my supervisor firmly ("firmly" is a euphemistic adverb here) rejected this approach because this method throws out a lot of the data (in his opinion). For example, if you have only 52 weeks of data (I had 780 weeks), the year-on-year method only yields a sample of one excess-return statistic so you can't really talk about a covariance matrix meaningfully with the year-on-year method. However, in my supervisor's opinion, you can get a meaningful covariance matrix for 52 weeks of data when investigating yearly returns.Anyway, it makes me feel much better about my work, knowing that a Senior Member agrees with me.Paul Epstein