September 6th, 2006, 6:19 pm
QuoteOriginally posted by: movielovePF or Kalman filtering is not used to implement MLE directly but can be useful to evaluate the likelihood.To be specific, the likelihood could be decomposed into the product of a series of conditional densities and each component can be written as an integral involving the one-step predictive density. It's this predictive density that PF is used to approximatewith monte carlo methods. For SV, PF is probably the only choice since this state-space model is nonlinear, so Kalman may not helpin SV state space context, the stochastic volatility evolution is perfectly linear; only the option pricing, if that is being concerned, is non-linear. In fact, a modified KF, such as extended or unscented KF, is better in a Gaussian SV case since they are much less expensive computationally than PF. PF is only practically preferrable when the state variable dynamics are non-Gaussian
Last edited by
bingfei on September 5th, 2006, 10:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.