November 4th, 2006, 5:30 am
Make it simpler:Suppose at time t=0, you fund a portfolio with 100 and instantaneously go long 100 and short -100. In period 1, both the long and short positions appreciate 10%. Assume also that your cash return is 5%, no leverage is used and no additional flows occurred during the period (broker did not call you to pony up more cash). t=0 Per1 t=1Long +100 +10% +110Short -100 +10% -110Cash +100 +5% +105Total +100 +105Return on portfolio = 105/100 - 1 = 5%. Here, your short bet offset the long bet, and the return is on interest from investing the short sale proceeds (I think this goes into a restricted bucket until the short position is unwound and you may not get any interest).In the next scenario, assume that you hit both bets and the short value loses 10% t=0 Per1 t=1Long +100 +10% +110Short -100 -10% -90Cash +100 +5% +105Total +100 +125Your periodic return is 25%.Note a seemingly odd result in both situations -- in situation one the total return is at the lower bound of the underlying component returns, and in situation two the total return is outside the underlying component returns. This is a natural consequence of a long/short strategy.Finally, one last oddity to discuss. In situation one, the short position lost money for you. The return is positive! In situation two, the short position helped you, but the asset class return is negative! To alleviate this, some recommend dividing by the absolute value of the average capital employed in the period (the Beg MV here). Don't do this! It makes intuitive sense to do so, but the multiperiod compounding gets screwed up.Suppose 1 share of stock has a t=0 price of 100 initially, and is priced at 120 (t=1), 130 (t=2), 120 (t=3) and at 110 (t=4).A long position has returns returns of 20%, 8.33%, -7.69% and -8.33%. The compounded return is 10%, which is exactly what we expect: 100 increases to 110. The short position is exactly the same. If we take the absolute value of the denominator to calculate the returns, we have -20%, -8.33%, 7.69% and 8.33%. Compounding gives us a -14.44% rate of return. The short value went from -100 to -110 and there was no additional activity. No way can this return be reconciled with the values. In each period, the adjustment "made sense" and followed the valuation impact to the portfolio, but the multiperiod return is incorrect.Sorry for the long post. I veered a bit from the topic, but the return calculation is really no different long vs. short.