April 14th, 2007, 2:26 pm
Total number of trade is 141Mean return is 0.0313794SD is 0.0306327Maximum is 0.188679Minimum is -0.01162790.01 quantile is -0.007810730.05 quantile is 0.0020.1 quantile is 0.00557491Median is 0.0230263Geometric mean is 0.0309463Looking at the trage logs, if your mean return is expressed in percents, then it's 3.1% and it sounds reasonable. Though then you have a little problem that standard deviation has the same magnitude as the return. I hope you didn't optimize it yet and actual business is better.And by a 3% return per transaction you really don't have to worry about transaction costs, though this business requires being thorough and accurate, so i do advise including those as well. Also, do the bid/ask spread to estimate worst case. Even if these don't crash your strategy, believe me you'll find it useful when talking to people.Another thing is the backtesting period. You need it long, and well, you might find it stops working somewhere. Best thing is if your model tells you in what market conditions it works and in what it doesn't. In any case, this is normal, since markets change. You might find you need to monitor trading and slightly adjust its parameters to keep it going. Best of luck, let us know when you start a hedge fund!