May 15th, 2007, 12:22 pm
windcloud: nice question.Paul: perhaps we should move this to the technical forum.This is how I'd do it - maybe others have different ideas.First, express r_u in terms of r_s:Notice the exponential decay function in the integrand. Effectively the mean reversion dampens the effect of earlier noise on later rate observations. To overcome this, make time 'accelerate':and define so that X is Brownian motion with respect to the time measure \tau. You can apply the standard bridging results to X, using the time measure \tau.Now using r_s and r_u and you can observe and . Finally express r_t asand use the bridge results for X.Also, check my mathematics. I rushed this off after work, so there may be some algebraic mistakes - but the intuition is there