May 20th, 2007, 12:05 am
QuoteOriginally posted by: Gmike2000Greeks are more important than prices. Sounds funny eh? Well you know your price is wrong when either customers come running for trades, or you dont get any flow at all. But you rarely find out if your greeks are wrong...when you do find out they were wrong, it is too late.I agree with your statement, but I think the reason is the opposite. The fact that your price differs from the market is essential if you're going to use this for anything. If it only returns the market price, it can't make you any money. As long as your greeks are right, you can hedge your price, so you don't mind if customers come running for trades. You shouldn't worry about getting no flow, your customers will just come running for the reverse trade. So a perfect model gets the price "wrong" in the sense of what the market thinks, but gets the greeks exactly right. It doesn't tell you the market price today, but it tells you the market price tomorrow depending on tradeable parameters.For that reason, you never know if the price is right today, you only know how much it disagrees with everyone else. But tomorrow you know if the greeks are wrong, as they will be if the price did not move as predicted given other market moves.