June 29th, 2007, 10:43 am
QuoteOriginally posted by: PolysenaDo you mean you had foreseen some trouble? wowHowever tempting it is to claim the credit (and one of my colleagues was gracious enough to call in the middle of the night to remind me that I had "prophesied" correctly), I have to qualify my prediction.What I did not like about this fund was multiple-layers of synthytic-structuring; and we are talking about much (much!) more than CDO-squared etc.For someone who still has concerns about correlation modelling for "ordinary" CDOs, I was not convinced that the Bear's guys were upto the task of managing risk on this fund in times of market stress.The funny thing is that Bears' sales guys initially took just about 7 minutes to describe this "High Grade" fund. But whn I sat down with the Bear's structuring team, it took them nearly one and half hours just to describe the mutiple layers of structuring and the liquidity arrangments. At the end of the session, I was convinced that it was going to b difficult for Bear's to propoerly manage ALL the fund's risks in a crises.So it boiled down to gut feel: there were other less risky opportunities (with comparable returns) where we could deploy the shareholders' capital.
Last edited by
IceQueen on June 28th, 2007, 10:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.