November 3rd, 2007, 1:32 pm
Personally, I have never found this relative entropy business (if I know the right paper for Cont/Tankov) compelling.If you are looking at broad indices, consider the representative agent/utility function approach. (see Bates, for example,or my Wilmott mag. article "Fear of Jumps" ). To me, the rep. agent approach is under-appreciated, less ad hoc, and safer! (arbitrage-free). Here's a topic based on that (if it hasn't been done): market equil under two/multiple rep. agents with Levy processes(extending Dumas, Two Person Dynamic Equilibrium in the Capital Markets). With Levy processes, a big question for modelling is: why exchange Brownian motion (plus Poisson jumps) in favor of jump processes withinfinite intensity? The latter processes often use obscure parameters, are hard to visualize, and are much less intuitive. Given all the hassles, if you're going to go that route, *what is the compelling case to do so*? A definitive answer to this one (or rejecting the approach) is probably worth a PhD Then, there are -many- practical questions about calibration: a big one:what instruments to use besides the usual suspects (credit related?, swaps, etc.)This is a big deal for options on individual equities, which is a much less explored area, so perhaps even better to write about.The problem there is that your basic (stationary) framework should fail miserably unless you handle sensibly the knownnon-stationarities (earnings releases being the most important.). Search the forum for many discussions of "calibration", lately with tibbar or me as authors. regards,
Last edited by
Alan on November 2nd, 2007, 11:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.