January 11th, 2008, 1:47 pm
QuoteOriginally posted by: Y0daWhat always bothered me, though, was that those parametersturned out to land infinitely close to the boundary of the surfacesigma^2 > 2*kappa*theta. This is certainly not a good propertyof a model, is it? I mean, this inequality is supposed to prevent zerovolatilities, thus preventing the impossible. The minimum point shouldtherefore not lie on this boundary, I believe. But I still got the same resultsas the authors of the abovementioned article did, which makes me believethat both me and the authors are making a serious error somewhere.Can someone shed a light on what the issue might be?Observing zero values of the instanteneous variance is not a bad property of the model if you are not confusing the instanteneous variance with the realized variance that mostly determines the price of vanilla options. On short time scale, the instanteneous variance can be approximated by the realized variance realized during small time interval (i-1, i): v(i)=(ln[(S(i)/S(i-1)])^2/AnnualizedTime(i-1,i). I don't see any problems if the latter quantity turns out to be close to zero, you might also inspect the historical time series to conform that small values of v(i) are not that impossible. By calibrating the Heston model to SPX options, the Feller condition you stated is never satisfied.Unfortunately, the problem with the Heston model is deep indeed. When the Feller condition is not satisfied you have to respect the boundary for v(i) at zero which is very problematic with PDE and MC methods, and makes the Heston model very hard to deal with numerically. Also there is a lot of problems with evaluation of "analytical" integrals.Fortunately, there is a stochastic volatility model which is much more robust than Heston model and which is relatively easy to deal with numerically.
Last edited by
seppar on January 10th, 2008, 11:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.