November 16th, 2011, 6:14 pm
With the caveat that I have done some low level academic research on weather derivatives and correlation analysis of weather and electricity demand but am far from an expert: When you say "model prices", could you be more specific? Are you talking about the underlying distribution function of temperature as measured by CDD/HDD, or are you looking at stochastic events like hurricanes etc.? Furthermore, are you trying to replicate market prices (e.g. CME Weather Derivatives)? As an aside, in my experience, since the market is relatively thin, and participants, including CME, are looking for greater volume and exposure, you will find many of them to be quite helpful in directing you to data sources and the like.