February 12th, 2003, 2:37 am
When Mr. Buffet pulled his money out of GenRe, he mentioned that he is not comfortable about the profit that is visible only through a sophisticated mathematical model, I heard. This sounds quite familiar to me: one of my old friend, a successful investment banker, once told me that profit is something that you can calculate with a calculator (not the one that requires several hours of cpu). Perhaps not as simple as this, I believe. But on the other hand, if it really requires a very peculiar model to state an unrealized profit, can we confidently tell our shareholders that we are making money?Mathematical models of financial derivatives are quite sophisticate, indeed. Sometimes I see people, who are trained as a scientist, spending many hours in front of computers, ending up mis-pricing a deal due to minor errors (such as sign error). I've done the same mistake before. It is quite embarrassing for a quant to produce a value that doesn't pass the smell test given by a marketer or a trader. Later I learned that experienced quants have their own good ways of performing sanity checks.I spent few hours reading this book, when I was asked for my opinion about it.Peter's book is definitely NOT a book for those who want to pick up hard core quant skills: he assumes the Black-Scholes framework through out the book. BUT he explains the basics very clearly, providing enough tools for sanity checks. If a marketer (or an accountant) working for a structure product shop understands the material of this book, I'd give him an ace.