March 9th, 2009, 5:28 pm
i have been looking at pricing time spread options on commodities. And have been struggling to figure out whether method or model exists...There are several problems I am encountering...1. Most people tend to agree that the distribution is mean reverting.2. Changes in behavior could be affected by the seasons.The most spoken about model seems to be from Kirk (1995) - which is really a dual asset pricing model. This doesn't seem good, I am simply looking at 2 different contracts of 1 commodity. I am not sure if it would fit well.I dont think using the binomial model is possible either.Does anyone have any experience in this area?
Last edited by
GeneralDude on March 8th, 2009, 11:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.