February 10th, 2003, 2:21 pm
unprecedented fineness of its simulations could result in a better understanding of meteorological phenomena, aTrue, but the arts graduate journo interpretation of this is simply wrong.I don't need to tell a quant community about how chaos simply defeats computation.Further, a computer needs data. A more powerful box needs more data.HIV and climate change will not be defeated by computational dynamics alone. 99% of the work will be test tubes, measurement and trying things to just see what happens. In any case without satellite data we simply wouldn't know about several problems on Earth. However the biggie is not AIDS or CO2, but the big nasty we don't yet know about. Neither can kill the human race, but there are things that could.Maybe Yellowstone is about to form a caldera and make N. America uninhabitable, maybe there is a huge volcano forming under the meditteranean, maybe a rock the size of Texas is heading this way. Maybe sun spots are going up a lot.Prabably not of course , but history shows we're never more than 500 years from a global scale nasty.The shuttle is a flawed platform, and should be replaced, but I'd rather squint at the stars than blunder around in the dark.