July 23rd, 2009, 11:44 pm
For example, Sheldon Ross considered the case when one player plays his cards randomly, to determine the best strategy that the other player should use.[2] Using a proof by induction on the number of cards, Ross showed that the optimal strategy for the second (non-randomizing) player is to match the upturned card, i.e. if the upturned card is the Jack, he should play his Jack, etc. - from WikipediaExcellent! I could think of more or less the same strategy. Here is my answer:If dealer's card D happens to be greater than 3, I will bet my cards in the order 6,5,4, from high to low value, regardless of the actual value of D! The reason to do so is that these cards are quite worthy for me, so if my opponent wants to gain them I expect him to pay a higher price! So, in turn, he either adds to the value of the tie if he bets with the same card as mine (if he's following the same exact strategy) or he might throw a lower card if he has a different strategy. If the dealer's card D is ranked less than 4, then I will bet exactly the same as D. The reasoning is that I'm not interested in winning these cards as they are not very precious since the overall volume is low, but I also don't want to price the dealer's cards less than their face value. Moreover, I'm hoping that my opponent gets rid of his higher cards by paying more for the low cards which is not a good strategy any way. I think, if practiced correctly, this strategy can increase my chance of winning to a little bit more than 50% of the time if my opponents strategy has some random behavior, but to verify this, we should test the strategy with Monte Carlo..So in a sense I'm also matching with the dealer's cards, but I am further trying to bias my earning towards winning the higher ranked cards.