February 29th, 2012, 5:22 pm
Hi,Sorry for the bump but I have the same problem and after reading this post I can't figure it out yet.So the problem is: I'm trying to use the Black '76 formula to construct prices of at-the-money caps with implied vols but there are a few negative forward rates in the input data. The input data (thus with the negative forward rates) comes from my (gaussian) affine term structure model that I estimated using weekly data of USD LIBOR and swaps. I use the estimated model to construct the fair prices and forward rates needed to strip the caplets (thus with half year intervals). For a few data points in October and November 2010 the constructed forward rates at the short end of the curve (the 6m->12m, 12m->18m and 18m->24m forwards) are negative (max. -11 bps.).I've looked up the displaced Black/displaced lognormal model, but don't see how I can apply it to back out cap prices from vols. My most promising lead is Lee & Wang (2009), I think I have to transform the implied vols but don't know how. Simply using (strike-theta) and (forward-theta) with theta<0 doesn't give the right prices (of course).Thanks in advance