June 30th, 2009, 7:36 pm
There is a large spread between 1M and 3M ED futures, roughly 20 bps. For example, from Bloomberg, on Jun 29, 2009.The quote for 3M ED futures Sep contract is 99.36 (0.664%). The quotes for 1M ED futures Sep, Oct and Nov contracts are 99.5875 (0.4125%), 99.5225 (0.4775%) and 99.465(0.535%).Since the convexity adjust is small (less than 1bp), so we can ignore it. When we compound the 3 1M rates of 0.4125%,0.4775% and 0.535% , it does not give 3M rate of 0.664%. In fact, it is 20 bps lower. Is the spread between 1M and 3M ED futures that big? or am I missing something?