September 1st, 2009, 12:44 pm
Thanks again, books are on the way, that makes 4 in the mail! Hope Taleb's right about power in the unread books in a library.I'll give the PCA/ICA bit some thinking. Off the top of my head, it seems I want to use ICA if I was to represent each contract with an independent motion. I desire to fit a curve through the various contracts, spot through say a few years out, and then simulate the change in the curve, then back out what happens to a spread between various expirations.