September 23rd, 2009, 6:17 pm
I'm not sure I understand the problem, but if I do you're going about it the wrong way.I think you have a computer program that gives you draws from several different Normal distributions with known means and variances. You want to know if you sum the numbers from each draw the result will have a Normal distribution. I'm not sure why you can't look at the code to see if the individual variables are independent, I assume it's either too complicated or you don't have access to the source code.Anyway, it's silly to worry about covariance. Test what you care about, not something that might be mathematically equivalent. In mathematics, if you know you have a draw from a multivariate Normal distribution, you know the sum of the variable (or any linear combination) has a Normal distribution. That's logic. But if you test and cannot reject that the draw comes from a multivariate Normal distribuiton, it does not mean that the sum is close enough to Normal for your purposes.If you want to know if the sum is Normal, add up the number from some draws and use any standard test for Normality. More likely, you don't really care if the result is Normal but only some feature of the distribution, like symmetry or thin tails or a 1% point 2.33 standard deviations from the mean. Whatever the feature is, test for it directly.