February 17th, 2010, 1:06 pm
QuoteOriginally posted by: AnthisQuoteOriginally posted by: Traden4AlphaThird, if one is truly good with people, bright, motivated, and not risk-averse, then none of these degrees are needed to maximize lifetime earnings. Bill Gates, Steve Jobs, and Michael Dell all dropped out of college. In many ways, a degree or certificate is just a means of convincing others that one is worth something. The best-of-the-best don't need those pieces of paper.These blokes are the proverbial "exception that validate the rule". Its even arguable if they are "exceptional" themselves. The point is that such examples are by no means suggesting to today's kids that they should drop out of college, smash rector's nose in the mean time and become soldiers of fortune in the wild west of entrepreneurship.I wholeheartedly agree with you that this is not advice for the vast majority of kids. But that's because most of today's kids aren't highly motivated, aren't extremely smart, are risk averse (they just want a secure high-paying job), and aren't good are managing/motivating people. It's only those people with a rare combination of traits that can skip school and still do well.What's interesting about those three exceptional people is that they attracted people and investors at an age. Jobs founded Apple at age 21 with outside capital, Michael Dell convinced people to work for him when he was 12 and founded his computer company at age 19, Gates started Microsoft at age 21. I'd also add Ted Turner, Henry Ford, Thomas Edison (invented a stock ticker machine at age 21) to the list of exceptional people that didn't get a college degree.Please don't get me wrong. I think a formal education is really important for the vast majority of people (i.e. everyone not in the top X% of both people and mental skills). Formal education (and certification) is also essential for some jobs. I wouldn't want a doctor, lawyer, or engineer (including a financial engineer) that wasn't properly trained.Yet the original question wasn't about getting particular jobs requiring particular certificates. Instead it was about marginal value. My only point is that the marginal value of formal education is a strong function of the individual's preexisting abilities (especially motivation and people skills). For some high-performing individuals, the marginal utility of advanced degrees and certificates will be negative because they are the type of people that can drop-out and still succeed. (I'd also argue that the Salary = f(Education) figures contain severe sampling biases that over-estimate the marginal returns on education.)