April 14th, 2010, 10:12 pm
There's no "proof" per se but the argument is based on the global competition for capital. Unless there's inflation in the rate-raising country, a country with a higher rates is more attractive to credit lenders. Whether other countries also raise rates depends on if they are competing for capital, too, versus having other monetary goals such as maintaining an exchange rate that is favorable to exports.Given the large degree of coupling in the global economy and the fact that most central bankers use much the same theories and data to set rates, you'll also find empirical correlations between rate changes, but these may not mean that one country's rate increase caused another country's rate increase.