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tiko
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Posts: 11
Joined: March 7th, 2003, 11:11 am

Pre-settlement risk

December 5th, 2010, 4:18 pm

Qhich question, When calculating the Potential future exposure of a FOREX Forward, do we add the notional amount to the potential future exposure on the exact day of settlement? meaning that if a 30 day FOREX fwd has a potential future exposure of 20% on day 29, so is the exposure equal on the 30 day to 20%+notional=120% (to account for settlement risk) or not....!!!Do we hit the counterparty limits with 100% of notional for a FOREX Spot transactions or just the potential future exposure for example 3% of notional????would appreciate the help,cheers
 
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daveangel
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Joined: October 20th, 2003, 4:05 pm

Pre-settlement risk

December 5th, 2010, 6:20 pm

i shouldn't think sothe PFE on day 29 is the MTM p+l.
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tiko
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Posts: 11
Joined: March 7th, 2003, 11:11 am

Pre-settlement risk

December 6th, 2010, 6:40 am

thx daveangel for help, So if i understand correctly the PFE is only for Pre-settlement risk and the notional (100%) for FX Sport and FWD are never added to the PFE on the day of the exchange...is that correct?? How can we cover then Settlement Risk??Would appreciate confirmation....thx a million
 
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daveangel
Posts: 5
Joined: October 20th, 2003, 4:05 pm

Pre-settlement risk

December 6th, 2010, 10:18 am

are you asking how you mitigate against the risk of your counterpart not delivering their side of the trade ? Say you make a payment to them for your part of trade say deliver USD and they dont deliver the EUR ?
knowledge comes, wisdom lingers
 
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tiko
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Posts: 11
Joined: March 7th, 2003, 11:11 am

Pre-settlement risk

December 6th, 2010, 2:06 pm

QuoteOriginally posted by: daveangelare you asking how you mitigate against the risk of your counterpart not delivering their side of the trade ? Say you make a payment to them for your part of trade say deliver USD and they dont deliver the EUR ?Yeap exactly......How??Could you confirm that the PFE is only for Pre-settlement risk and the notional (100%) for FX Sport and FWD are never added to the PFE on the day of the exchange...did i understand it correctly?????
 
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daveangel
Posts: 5
Joined: October 20th, 2003, 4:05 pm

Pre-settlement risk

December 6th, 2010, 2:23 pm

QuoteOriginally posted by: tikoQuoteOriginally posted by: daveangelare you asking how you mitigate against the risk of your counterpart not delivering their side of the trade ? Say you make a payment to them for your part of trade say deliver USD and they dont deliver the EUR ?Yeap exactly......How??Could you confirm that the PFE is only for Pre-settlement risk and the notional (100%) for FX Sport and FWD are never added to the PFE on the day of the exchange...did i understand it correctly?????I am not a settlements person but it seems to me that the risks pre-settlement and post-settlement are different. Pre-settlement the risk is a net whereas post you have gross risk. Isn't this where CLS Bank comes in ?
knowledge comes, wisdom lingers
 
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tiko
Topic Author
Posts: 11
Joined: March 7th, 2003, 11:11 am

Pre-settlement risk

December 7th, 2010, 5:07 am

thanks pal for help, i appreciate it