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saminny
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Joined: May 2nd, 2010, 5:57 pm

affect of long term swap spread on lending

August 5th, 2011, 5:32 pm

I came across an article on bloomberg. It stated that in asian growing economies, the 5 year swap rates have fallen below the 1 year swap rates indicating a forthcoming bank lending slump. I do not understand this relationship. If the 5 year swap rates are low, the cost of borrowing 5 year term loans should get cheaper. So how does this indicate a slump? Could you please clarify?thanksSam
 
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Martinghoul
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Joined: July 18th, 2006, 5:49 am

affect of long term swap spread on lending

August 8th, 2011, 12:37 pm

I guess the argument is that, if you believe that the swap rate is a general measure of the price of credit, a low rate implies low demand for loans.
Last edited by Martinghoul on August 7th, 2011, 10:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.