August 14th, 2011, 5:54 am
A pure random walk (Brownian motion) is a non-stationary series (variance blows up with time) and the increments are uncorrelated! On the other hand, AR(1), for e.g. is a stationary process with finite autocorrelation!! On beta estimation, I suppose ordinary least squares assumes that the residuals are normally (Gaussian) distributed; the problem can therefore also be looked in the sense of maximum likelihood comprising of Gaussian distributions. If you assume there is deviation from normality, you can replace the Gaussian function with some other pdf (maybe univariate t-distribution for e.g. or perhaps some kind of Gram-Charlier expansion..) and your beta is simply one of the fitting parameters