November 16th, 2011, 6:03 pm
I never used any GARCH models but to me they seem to be inferior to multivariate stochastic volatility models. You can very easily have a Heston type Multidimensional stochastic volatility model in which you could use PCA and work with resulting one dimensional principal components. For example even though you have an asset vector of 120 dimensionss, you could just use ten principle components and multiply their eigenvalues by a common or different stochastic volatility. We can kill the dimensionality by taking projection of 120 dimensional vector on ten eigenvectors that span most of the space in 120 dimensions and then filter each of them. We could then use MLE maximization to calibrate parameters of each principle component to the market data. It is also possible to possible to include negative correlation between stochastic volatility and associated eigenvector. So we have multidimensional simulation, nonlinear filtering and optimization to cope with the problem.I hinted at such a filtering technique in my stochastic basis spreads paper and I will add a lot more about it in the new version of my paper.
You think life is a secret, Life is only love of flying, It has seen many ups and downs, But it likes travel more than the destination. Allama Iqbal