May 4th, 2003, 4:37 pm
Thanks, Anton, for posting your talk, which was informative.With regard to exponential jumps vs. Merton's model, bothyou and Chika like the exponential but your applications are both differentthan mine.I think a good "non-parametric" study is needed if someone hasn'talready done it. If anyone is looking fora good research project, it would be very valuable to take the short-datedoptions of say the SPX, and fit the smile to a jump-diffusion of a verygeneral sort. This general model would have jump-probabilites p_i to be determined for jumps to bins (x_i, x_i+1). The number ofbins could be 10, for example.My guess is that for the SPX, the max. fitted probability would beto a negative bin, ruling out the single or (zero-centered) double exponential. But I am certainly willing to be shown otherwise.Regards,alan
Last edited by
Alan on May 3rd, 2003, 10:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.