January 22nd, 2012, 12:57 pm
QuoteOriginally posted by: AnthisQuoteOriginally posted by: Traden4AlphaFrankly, I don't understand why resident creditors should be favoured at all. They are the ones that most likely benefited from government spending created by the loans in the first place.You are partially right, partially wrong. Most of the resident creditors are institutional investors, banks, insurance firms, pension funds etc. Individuals and companies should have more than 1 million in cash to access directly this market, but most of them used to invest from a foreign entity, in order to avoid a 10% interest tax. With various rules and regulations they were sort of obliged to acquire GGB. Local banks have already got 100 billion bailout pack, which adds up on public debt. More to come after haircut. People's pensions are "guaranteed by government". A haircut now means regular cash injections, that is government deficits, in the future. I guess there are similar rules for other EU pension funds. Consequently, an indiscriminate haircut may create more problems than it solves. Of course shit happens, and is quite predictable, when former communists who discovered capitalism in their 40s rule major EU economies.Interesting. It sounds like many of the most socially-important domestic holders of GGB (pensioners and depositors) will have their haircuts covered for them by future government bailouts or spending.You are right, though, that the promises made by the Greek government (to citizens, employees, and creditors) exceeds what the Greek economy can produce. Personally, I fear that too few people see the broader systems connections -- they think banks and governments have money when, in fact, they have balanced sets of assets-and-liabilities, revenues-and-expenditures.