May 16th, 2003, 7:49 pm
Start w/ dp = p (mu dt + sig dz).Use Ito to get d ln(p) = (mu - sig^2/2) dt + sig dzIntegrate and exponentiate to get P(t) = P(0) exp( mu *t) exp (-sig^2/2 t + sig Z(t) )So your question really is: Does 1 = E( exp(-sig^2/2 t + sig Z(t) )?To see that this is so, just integrate against pdf for Z(t) which is Gaussian w/ mean zero, variance t (easiest to complete the square in the exponential, giving you 1 = exp(-sig^2/2 *t ) exp (+sig^2/2 *t) * (integral over gaussian pdf = 1).