May 21st, 2012, 8:16 am
There is a wide range of models that can be calibrated for this purpose. An easy choice is a HJM calibrated with PCA. The problem is that in long horizons, it will frequently generate negative rates, but having recent levels of forwards in CHF that should not be considered as a problem (lognormal model would not be able to reproduce real market data). If you consider negative rates as a serious obstacle, Black-Karasinski is a pretty simple alternative, but du to lognormal nature of rates, some scenarios are exploding, so you need to set up some policy what is happening with your portfolio in case of very high rates.