October 9th, 2012, 2:08 pm
I have a portfolio of equities and equity options and I am working on a P&L attribution report using revaluation. I am having trouble calculating the implied volatility part of the P&L. I would like my model to account for Day1's volatility skew and movements in volatility skew from Day1 to Day2. I am looking at a skew curve that plots relative stock prices versus implied volatility. In this way, an option that is 10% out-of-the-money (OTM) one day could be 5% OTM the next day, and thus its point on a volatility skew would move.It would be something like this (here is a chart that illustrates this *):1) From Day1 to Day2, if the skew doesn't move, but the underlying price moves, both the option's relative moneyness and implied volatility will have changed. This implied volatility change results in some P&L change that I would call "P&L Implied Volatility" in my report.2) From Day1 to Day2, if the skew does move but the underlying price remains constant, the implied volatility will again have changed resulting in some P&L change. This time however I would call it "P&L Skew" in my report.3) If from Day1 to Day2, the skew and the underlying price move, I can calculate both "P&L Skew" and "P&L Imp Vol".What I am having trouble with is determining what P&L is attributable to underlying price movements. If I always treat underlying price movements as some function of volatility skew, then I have no way of determining what P&L to assign simply to underlying price movements. On the one hand, I understand that implied volatility movements are tightly related to underlying price movements in a way that splitting up their effects on P&L may not make sense. On the other hand, it doesn't feel right to say that no P&L is attributable to underlying price movements, and that it's all either "P&L Skew" or "P&L Imp Vol".Is there a preferred way to attribute P&L to skew, movements in skew, and movements in the underlier?* In the chart, the skew for Day1 is in green and the skew for Day2 is in blue. The option's implied volatility is 40% on Day1 and 30% on Day2. The option is 20% OTM on Day1 and 15% OTM on Day2. Half of the implied volatility movement is due to the skew movement from Day1 to Day2. The other half of the implied volatility movement is due to the underlying price movement from Day1 to Day2. I don't know how to attribute any P&L to the underlying stock price movement (Called "P&L Delta").P&L Skew = BS(Stock1, IV = 35%, X, Div, IntRate, Exp) - BS(Stock1, IV = 40%, X, Div, IntRate, Exp)P&L Imp Vol = BS(Stock2, IV = 30%, X, Div, IntRate, Exp) - BS(Stock1, IV = 40%, X, Div, IntRate, Exp) - P&L Skew