December 20th, 2012, 7:32 am
QuoteOriginally posted by: edouardthen, Daveangel can you make your "collateral returns" point totally clear to us, please?and what if ** in the real world ** the trader use log(F(T)/F(0))?its not that complicated. I simply mentioned it for completeness. Let us say you have 100 to invest and you can either do so in the spot market or the futures market. then if if you choose to invest through a futures market, then to compare the returns from both you have to add the returns on your cash. so the total return on your futures position istr = excess return (f2/f1-1) + interest earned on cash.let us take an example - if the spot price is 100 and the futures price today is 102 where the 2 is entirely due to interest charges then at maturity of the futures contract if the spot market is still at 100 then the rate of return on the spot is zero however the rate of return in the futures is -2%. However, the total return to the investor in the futures is still zero because he or she would have earned 2 by leaving their money on deposit or in T bills.
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