September 1st, 2013, 3:38 am
Shifted lognormal and lognormal both have the problem of a lower limit. You might want to consider a Black-normal model; in this model, rates are normally distributed. The SABR model with beta=0 corresponds to this situation, and Hagan et. al. explicitly cover this example in their SABR papers. We briefly looked at this a year ago in an attempt at pricing the implicit 0% strike floors embedded in some swaps. There is a decent asymptotic expansion of this in "Probability Distribution in the SABR Model of Stochastic Volatility" by Hagan et. al. (the formula for sigma_n on page 4). The expansion in their earlier paper "Managing smile risk" had some bad behavior - I think it had to do with zeta(K) or xHat(zeta(K)) steeply jumping up to 1 from nearly 0 as K approached 0 from above. As I recall, prices for strikes away from 0 are not bad as well under this model, but I only looked at this problem for less than a week, so I can't vouch for that. At any rate, the prices for 0% strike floors ended up being pretty close to the premium that banks were charging for the embedded floor.
Last edited by
kinnally on August 31st, 2013, 10:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.