September 14th, 2013, 6:19 pm
No, I don't think 10 year swap curve is higher, in fact it is not, it is rather exhibits a behavior of a "moving average" for the Libor 3M forward curve. However, 10 year forward curve is above all of these. But I think I understood the relationship between the curves already...QuoteOriginally posted by: eurokopekKamil,Is my understanding of what you are plotting correct:1. Forward curve, the rate to borrow for 3 months at point "T"2. (Use the above forward curve to calculate) The rate of a forwarding starting swap, i.e. the 10y swap rate starting at time "T".Your question is:Why is 10y rate of a swap starting at time T higher than the 3 month rate at time T?Your own explanation:[quote]In the US convention, when ask for 10Y swap rate, that means that a swap rate is computed from the swap with float side 3 month Libor paid every 3 months and fixed side is semiannual, while the payments happen over the period of 10 years? So, the swap rate would be some weighted average of the 3 month Libor over the next 10 years for every single point in time on the curve, so my expectation of the 3M forward average rate. The 10Y forward rate, is the rate to invest for 10 years, which must be above any 3M forward rate by the assumption of th eupward sloping spot rate curve.[/quote]The forwarding starting swap rate with 10y maturity is higher than the 3-month forward rate because of upward-sloping spot rate curve