January 7th, 2014, 5:16 pm
A weakening currency is inflation, depending on how you define inflation. So the question is does inflation cause inflation, or does an increase in the price of one good cause, or tend to occur at the same time as, an increase in the price of another good. It is not too hard to increase the quantity of a currency, decrease the supply of a specific good or basket of goods, and have the price of those goods drop, priced in the currency. If the currency is owned by people who do not demand those goods.When the yuan was pegged to the dollar, the yuan-dollar saw higher inflation in the Chinese goods consumed in China, and lower inflation in the Chinese goods consumed in the USA. So there is not a really strong reason that the price of foreign goods, or foreign currencies, priced in your currency, will move in the same direction as local CPI goods. Even if part of the price move is a change in the supply of your currency, or a change in who holds or spends the supply.