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Trickster
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Monetary Systems - News and Analysis

April 10th, 2015, 1:24 am

(Cross-posted from the Bitcoin thread in the Trading Forum)For those who follow news of emerging currencies and monetary systems, the author of this book gave an interesting talk recently: The Monetary System: Analysis and New Approaches to RegulationJean-François Serval (Author), (Co-author Jean-Pascal Tranié)This could be good reading for anyone who is looking for fresh ideas on macroeconomics, monetary policy, and how to analyze the flows more accurately.
 
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Traden4Alpha
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Monetary Systems - News and Analysis

April 10th, 2015, 1:46 pm

Interesting.Yet I'm wondering if the entire concept of a "flow" is wrong because it implies that capital starts in one place, leaves that place, and ends up in another. This seems wrong on two levels.First, if an entity in country A lends money to someone in country B, it's certainly true that cash moves from A to B. Yet, at the same time, the entity in country A still has their money in the form of an asset. Moreover, in a world of transparent balance sheets and liquid markets, the entity in country A might readily treat that new asset as a cash-like item either by borrowing against the asset or selling the asset.The distinction between cash and non-cash is in the optionality of cash -- cash is the most flexible asset and can be readily used for anything. Yet the history of financial systems and markets seems to be one in which non-cash assets are steadily attaining cash-like levels of optionality via liquid markets, securitization, and the like.In a healthy modern economies, does cash flow or does cash replicate? (Of course, if the financial system has a crisis, then the dichotomy between cash and non-cash becomes quite stark)Second, the borrower in country B may have new cash but they also have a liability that obligates sending cash back to country A. The flow is not the unfettered shift of cash from one place to another but is more like a ball on the end of a rubber band. In fact, if the entity is a bank or fund then each return of cash will trigger new lending of cash -- the figurative ball will bounce repeatedly with a frequency equal to the duration of the lending.