February 8th, 2016, 9:39 am
Best fit doesn't imply best model... In my view you cant do much with it unless you're trading exotic and believe that your models capture the vol dynamics (not vol fit) better than the street. And market makers will charge you a healthy spread (because they know from experience none of their models work well - and they will have choice of ~ 20 or more models and a whole team of quants supporting them) so you can say goodbye to most of your edge on the buy side.If you want to start something on your own, keep it simple and look for pricing edge in say spreads or term-structure of vols, rates, divs etc. You wont be able to convert better model into pnl starting on your own.