February 10th, 2016, 3:37 pm
I might not be fully understanding your question but, while the default absorbing state is needed for any default payment (e.g. maybe a Recovery in your callable bond case) you need to 'discount' all you alive payoffs taking into account the 'survival probability'... Bear in mind that, between 2 time nodes in your tree) any credit contingent payoff (X_T) is calculated as: Numeraire_(T-1) x E[1_{tau>T} X_T / Numeraire(T)] + Numeraire_(T-1) x E[1_{tau<T} R/Numeraire(T)] (Sorry for the crappy notation...first is the alive payment and the second is the default one, the one coming from the absorbing state)How do you 'discount' (calculate that expectation in the tree) without modelling those hazard rates and using them in the 2 places?This way, in your i,j node you will have a value of your short rate r_i and your hazard rate (h_j) and from moving backward the payoff from T_k+1 to T_k you need to bring back your default payment (the absorbing state) but also the alive payment (that only happens if alive, so 'discounted' also with the hazard rate)hope this helps.