February 18th, 2016, 10:57 pm
Thanks Alan, I understand your point.These days my vision is changed and I will appreciate your comments or corrections. For me pricing role model is coupon bond. If coupon is defined by a floating rate the benchmark can be adjusted. Price at t = 0 is defined as PV or EPV of the future cash flow.Let us take a look at option and assume that dt is 1 day or 30 min it does not matter. An we chose dt such that the values of the order (dt)[$]^{1+h}[$] can be ignored at least in the theory. BS price I interpret as following bank sells not a single option it sells Bs portfolio that is defined at t[$]\,_0[$]. Buyer can sell or by depending on sign of the delta of the [$] \delta\,( t_0 ) [$] stocks and we arrive at BS price. Here we assumed that stock can be sell or by immediately and we ignore bid-ask gap. At t[$]\,_0[$] we know that at t[$]\,_1[$] the portion of stock in BS portfolio should be changed and that should happen next during lifetime of the option. Hence the value of the BS portfolio at t[$]\,_0[$] should be cumulative value of the EPV of the all future adjustments and not only the value as it was defined by B&S. The EPV of all adjustments from t[$]\,_k[$] , k = 1, 2, ... n should be added to the value of the BS portfolio which is defined at t[$]\,_0[$] to cover [$][\,t\,_0 \, , t\,_1[$]] period.Doing this we will arrive at another formula for the option price at initiation. Of course it can be close or far from BS price depending whether the cumulative adjustments are biased or not. This ideas are also relate to connection between volatilities. If market somewhat takes into account all future transactions then implied volatility and BS theoretical volatility would be different
Last edited by
list1 on February 18th, 2016, 11:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.