March 6th, 2018, 11:59 pm
That sounds like a reasonable starting point. Beyond that it depends a bit on which market you are looking at. It may make sense to do a principal component analysis of the correlation (or covariance) matrix and look at the factor structure. If it is a storable commodity there will presumably be a dominant factor driven by the spot price and the remaining patterns in correlation arising from moves in interest rates, storage cost, and market technicals. If its something essentially non-storable like electricity, interest rates or VIX, then the story gets more complicated.