We are looking for closed form solution to CMS spread range accruals under 2-factor Hull-White.
Any tips, @DavidJN?
I know a lot of YouTube videos on Jim Simons make a huge point of focusing on hidden Markov with some form of Kelly betting strategy behind it, as Ed Thorpe did as well. I assumed there's a lot more behind it.An old Hacker News comment reveals a surprising insight into Renaissance Technologies' remarkable success: the legendary hedge fund achieved its impressive 66% pre-fee and 39% post-fee annual returns from 1988 to 2018 using a simple regression with one target and one explanatory variable. The comment highlights that the fund's success relied more on having brilliant minds identify the right variables, clean data meticulously, and recognize flawed results than on complex models. This gem challenges the notion that sophistication always trumps simplicity, reminding us that mastering the fundamentals is often the key to exceptional results.
I've been writing all my equations and algorithms out on paper first (or iPad scribbled onto Noteability)."It's really, really important to write your idea out or to draw it out or to code it, but you need to get it out of your head. The reason you have to get it out of your head is you need to be able to see it on a surface that is not in your mind. And once you can see it, and once you can step back from it, then you can also decide if this passes your filter or not" - Jack Dorsey