November 18th, 2003, 10:15 am
The main issue with the well known IR models like BK (log-normal) , HW(normal), is the ability to properly deal with the volatility skew observed in the marketA couple of studies showed that log-normal models tend to overestimate ITM cap and underestimate OTM onesand normal models the opposite (underestimate ITMs, overestime OTMs), especially in a low IR environment.So, i would say the choice between HW and BK would more a question of taste....Concerning the pricing of some IR extocs, my choice would be in order of preference :for Bermudan options1f-2f HW with piecewise constant volatilities;for range swaps/notes1f with log-normal shifted BS with convexity adjusted forward rates;1f Libor Market Model in an implied tree framework, fitted to cap smile;for callable range is more complexwe don't really know how to calibrate itthe ideal choice would be a multi-factor BGM model which will be jointly calibrated to effective cap & swaption prices1) calibrate to cap prices: - for term structure : use some local piecewise constant vol or parametric one; - for skew : use a mixture between log-normal/normal - for smile: add a stochastic vol process etc;2) calibrate to swaption prices , usually ATM but if possibil to effective strike swaptions;for CMS callable structures the same model which would be calibrated only to swaption pricesother choice would be to use a 2f HJM(HW) model to approximate the prices and to avoid computational burdenfor low dimensional problems up to 3 dimensions (often with weak dependent payoffs) one could use FD ADI methods (predictor/corrector one if any mixed derivatives)Otherwise one should resort to MC with control variates For more details seeAndersen & Andreasen Volatility skews & extensions of the Libor Market modelAndersen & AndreasenExtended Libor market models with stochastic volatilityBrigo & MercurioInterest rate models book;And many other great papers could be added...Hope it will help,