Hi. I'm the author of ASA, available at no charge from several locations:
http://www.ingber.comhttp://alumni.calt ... ingSection 3.4. Use of Documentation for Tuning in ASA-README.[] (several formats) explains the necessity for tuning in all importance-sampling algorithms that are reasonably robust for many nonlinear systems. I think this addresses the main points brought up in this posting.ASA was used for options, to fit generic distribution to options data, e.g., a bottom-up approach to fitting strikes, instead of the usual top-down "smile" approach: %A L. Ingber %A C. Chen %A R.P. Mondescu %A D. Muzzall %A M. Renedo %T Probability tree algorithm for general diffusion processes %J Physical Review E %V 64 %N 5 %P 056702-056707 %D 2001 %O URL
http://www.ingber.com/path01_pathtree.pdfASA is used in a full trading system that includes copula risk-management (including its good, and and ugly features): %A L. Ingber %T Trading in Risk Dimensions (TRD) %R Report 2005:TRD %D 2005 %I Lester Ingber Research %C Ashland, OR %O URL
http://www.ingber.com/markets05_trd.pdfA shorter updated paper with this title appears in the Handbook of Trading: Strategies for Navigating and Profiting from Currency, Bond, and Stock Markets published by McGraw-Hill (2010). Only the Table of Contents and the Abstract appear in
http://www.ingber.com/markets05_trd.pdf, as the publisher has requested all previous markets05_trd_report.pdf papers be removed from the internet. (Not online. Contact me for more information.)Lester