November 23rd, 2006, 2:44 pm
Credit spreads and swap sprads have very little in common these days. The credit is risk in swaps is so small that it can almost be neglected. If you have a credit crisis today, you would see credit spreads wider and swap spreads tighter. Why?.. Because the flight to quality would be executed through receiving on swaps as much, if not more so, than through UST buying.This doesn't change the dynamic w.r.t. how to put on a spread widening trade, but in the first post credit and swaps spreads were described as two strategies for the same trade. They are not.. credit widening is a UST bullish trade, credit widening tradeswap sprd widening is a UST bearish trade, credit tightening trade