February 18th, 2009, 4:50 pm
You either believe in capitalism or you don't.As someone who has fought for capitalism in a real physical sense, as well as argued for it, I find this statement quite bizarre.Capitalism is a set of models and decision making tools based upon some assumptions and experience.Do you "believe" in Black Scholes ?I don't.It fits some observed facts, and is useful, a good servant, a lousy master. The market is not "immoral" if the implied vol differs from the realised vol, it just does what it does, like room full of cats.Capitalism is not some moral ideal, any more than democracy. They are tools with which large societies can make decisions with relatively few people getting killed in the rows over who gets what and who does what to whom.They both screw up big time occasionally, as we now see. So does calculus, or rather people do it wrong and occasionally bridges fall down or engines explode.When you subsidize an activity you end up with too much of it.Thats not right, it barely even makes it to wrong.In the short term, your simplistic model is correct, but when you look at the British transport system that Traden4alpha cites, you see that there is not enough of it, not too much. Fact is that when it is subsidized you get the wrong amount. Same applies to grain production in the Soviet Union which nearly starved through food subsidies.Education in America is subsidised to a scale that is bigger than the whole economy of some countries, few think that "too much" education is provided.If public money is being used to repacitalize the banking system, well then the public should own it, otherwise we're making the moral hazard problem even worse. Wrong.To avoid moral hazard, you need to ensure that the decision makers who screwed up do not benefit.Those in control are walking away with serious money."punishing the banks" is as rational as putting their PCs in jail.In medieval times Christians used to punish animals. I don't mean kicking a dog that bit you, they had trials, juries and judicial executions of cows.A lot of this mess was caused by Excel, are we to see errant spreadsheets printed out and then burned ?Actually seeing American politicians talk about this, I have a bottle of Pol Roger Champagne to wager that an American politico will do something like this before (say) August 1.Any takers ?I guess DavidJN does not have kids ?They learn very different lessons in discipline than what you think you are teaching them.They often learn that what you think is "respect for elders" is actually "do what bigger people say else you get hurt", and "if you are bigger you have the right to make small people shut up".The lesson being learned by the next generation of bank leadership is to spend more money on PR, and to take less of their renumeration in cash.
Last edited by
DominicConnor on February 17th, 2009, 11:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.