November 17th, 2015, 7:09 pm
QuoteOriginally posted by: list1QuoteOriginally posted by: daveangelQuoteOriginally posted by: list1outrun, can you be more specific or quantify your statement "The negative yields are perfectly ok if you factor in credit risk and liquidity"price + lf + cf + of > 100lf = liquidity factorcf = credit factorof = option to convert to New DeutschemarkCan I try to ask again. Negative rate implies that at some moment the price of the bond higher than notional 100 at maturity. If bond perfect I can assume that price 100 remains 100 from beginning to the end of the bond'd lifetime. Factor of liquidity, credit risk and ect should decrease the current price of the bond?if you had a Eur 1bn in cash, it would probably cost you a bit of cash to put on deposit in a creditworthy bank. of course you can put it in a less creditworthy bank and take the punt that your deposit doesn't get bailed in. if you wanted a pick up in yield you probably have to tie up your deposit with a substantial break fee. alternatively, you can buy a short term instrument issued by Germany - you could probably sell it at any time and you have the credit of the federal republic which is AAA. also, if things go tits up and the germans decide to leave the euro then they will issue a new DM and your shot term instrument would convert into that and given that the DM would likely rise against the euro then you have a benefit from that.
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