September 17th, 2014, 8:37 am
QuoteOriginally posted by: trademasterQuoteOriginally posted by: daveangelQuoteOriginally posted by: trademasterI have read more pros than cons in this thread. The fact is that finance is not even a science. Some may call it pseudo-science which is again not a science. Finance is not a premise that one can inject untested, questionable, scientific theories/models and disregard subjective judgements. One such theory is the BSM theory, which mathematically very sophisticated-looking, that must have been called crackpot rigor and that one must always be on guard against it.I'd like to close this thread with the following"There is perhaps no beguilement more insidious and dangerous than an elaborate and elegant mathematical process built upon unfortified premises" - Thomas C. Chamberlain, Geologist (1899)You can't close a thread.... it seems that you had some views that you wanted to air namely that Pablo Triana and Nassim Taleb have the answer to everything. I can assure that I have learnt to rest my guard against crackpot theories.I've never said Taleb is right. Unlike many so-called professionals sitting on the fence and being dishonest, Taleb's fought against what could be dangerous to society at large. Perhaps you could do the same. See discussion in depth by Elie Ayache about The Blank Swan: The End of Probability. The Blank Swan (book). I dislike those who sit around being intellectually dishonest, skeptical, even confused, and jealous of people who spend time and energy write books in attempt to put things in the right background and perspectives.See more of Models.Behaving.Badly - Emanuel Derman. The illusions of dynamics replication - E Derman and N Taleb.Theories come and go, the markets remain.If you don't think that Taleb is right then why do you think he was fighting against what "could be dangerous to society at large". Taleb writes books which he sells. He appears on TV programmes and discuss in his thick accent the fact that large events happen sometimes. What you like or dislike is not for me to opine on. As for Ayache's thread, I honestly could not follow it. It is the sort of thing that French pseudo-philosophers enjoy. Not sure what your point is or if you really have a view.
Last edited by
daveangel on September 16th, 2014, 10:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.
knowledge comes, wisdom lingers