SERVING THE QUANTITATIVE FINANCE COMMUNITY

Paul
Posts: 10791
Joined: July 20th, 2001, 3:28 pm

### Re: Trump -- the last 100 days

Like 16m Remoaners?

bearish
Posts: 5705
Joined: February 3rd, 2011, 2:19 pm

### Re: Trump -- the last 100 days

Yes, but presumably still in control of nuclear weapons.

Cuchulainn
Posts: 62638
Joined: July 16th, 2004, 7:38 am
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### Re: Trump -- the last 100 days

Let's not use sexist language against political opponents. Even the Blonde Banshee herself.
Wait till Clíodhna hears what you said.
Step over the gap, not into it. Watch the space between platform and train.
http://www.datasimfinancial.com
http://www.datasim.nl

Alan
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Joined: December 19th, 2001, 4:01 am
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### Re: Trump -- the last 100 days

A thoughtful analysis of a not-so-unlikely scenario in a couple of short years: Trump loses and refuses to leave: https://www.cnn.com/2019/02/23/opinions ... index.html.
Absurd. I'll bet the guy not only believes that, but that Jussie Smollett was actually mugged.

bearish
Posts: 5705
Joined: February 3rd, 2011, 2:19 pm

### Re: Trump -- the last 100 days

A thoughtful analysis of a not-so-unlikely scenario in a couple of short years: Trump loses and refuses to leave: https://www.cnn.com/2019/02/23/opinions ... index.html.
Absurd. I'll bet the guy not only believes that, but that Jussie Smollett was actually mugged.
Really? You think Trump will just roll over and look like a loser? Maybe you think it's inconceivable that he will lose to whomever comes out on top of the democratic scramble, so we are conditioning on an empty set?

bearish
Posts: 5705
Joined: February 3rd, 2011, 2:19 pm

### Re: Trump -- the last 100 days

I would bet even money, decent size, that he would start a war rather than accept an electoral loss. Then he could declare another "national emergency". Guiliani would be there, right with him.

Alan
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Joined: December 19th, 2001, 4:01 am
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### Re: Trump -- the last 100 days

No, I think Trump could lose to a thoughtful opponent. A lot of it will depend upon unfolding events: the economy, N. Korea, Iran, etc.

I've come to regard Trump as quite eccentric, but not an idiot. Refusing to leave would be an idiot's move.

But I will nominate that columnist for the first annual Philip K. Dick Pre-crime award.

bearish
Posts: 5705
Joined: February 3rd, 2011, 2:19 pm

### Re: Trump -- the last 100 days

Wow - OK, you have a fantastically optimistic world view. That probably helps keeping that old blood pressure down.

Alan
Topic Author
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Joined: December 19th, 2001, 4:01 am
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### Re: Trump -- the last 100 days

Well, one of the keys to happiness is low expectations. With Trump, I had very low expectations, and things have not been as bad as I expected -- hard to fathom, I know. The 'low expectations' idea is echoed in a 20-year old book on happiness by D. Prager, whom I consider an expert on that subject. Another thought from him on happiness:

Cuchulainn
Posts: 62638
Joined: July 16th, 2004, 7:38 am
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### Re: Trump -- the last 100 days

Sorry, that's a phony fire. Fireside?
Step over the gap, not into it. Watch the space between platform and train.
http://www.datasimfinancial.com
http://www.datasim.nl

trackstar
Posts: 27455
Joined: August 28th, 2008, 1:53 pm

### Re: Trump -- the last 100 days

Probably don't need to worry too much about Trump as a White House guest who would not leave.

It's on the grid - public water, electricity, cable.  Flip the switch and without FOX and Twitter, he'd reconsider his options.

(Probably there are generators and a store of essential provisions in case of a real emergency, but it's not a bunker where you could hide out comfortably for years.)

And for an extended stay/coup to be successful, the leader has to have the support of the military.

HIs bedroom window may be made out of bricks, but "The National Guard stands around the door...."?  Not in this case.
Post 2020, ain't gonna work on D. Trump's farm no more...

Alan
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Joined: December 19th, 2001, 4:01 am
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### Re: Trump -- the last 100 days

Sorry, that's a phony fire. Fireside?
Why so? Looks like a normal California gas-fed fireplace to me.

Alan
Topic Author
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Joined: December 19th, 2001, 4:01 am
Location: California
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### Re: Trump -- the last 100 days

And for an extended stay/coup to be successful, the leader has to have the support of the military.
And spouse!

Cuchulainn
Posts: 62638
Joined: July 16th, 2004, 7:38 am
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### Re: Trump -- the last 100 days

Sorry, that's a phony fire. Fireside?
Why so? Looks like a normal California gas-fed fireplace to me.
No offence, up in the hills we don't have gas. We have to do with wood fires.

Here in NL a huge lake of gas was found in the 1960s in Groningen (Bingo ) Everyone burned gas fires. in 2019 many earthquake  caused by gas lakes caving, houses fall down.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dutch_disease
Step over the gap, not into it. Watch the space between platform and train.
http://www.datasimfinancial.com
http://www.datasim.nl

Alan
Topic Author
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Joined: December 19th, 2001, 4:01 am
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### Re: Trump -- the last 100 days

Interesting. In California, we have many natural earthquakes, although nothing large lately.  All the gas devices like water heaters need to be strapped down to be earthquake-proof. But if we have "the big one", will be a lot of fires anyway. The main danger from gas itself during normal times (no earthquake) is  aging and poorly maintained infrastructure