Page 1 of 1

Debt to GDP ratio

Posted: May 12th, 2019, 3:25 pm
by winstonsmith
Sorry, if this is a naive question for this forum. Is'n the Debt to GDP ratio of a country a measure of it's "solvency"? And If it is why is not Japan (234.18%) on the doorstep of default? By the same token, how come Japanese government bonds trade at a negative yield?

Re: Debt to GDP ratio

Posted: May 12th, 2019, 5:50 pm
by Alan
First part seems well-answered at Quora.  Re the negative yield, at least according to Reuters , it is partly a stable situation because apparently foreigners can earn a decent premium over comparable US Tsy's with little perceived risk due to the answer to the first part. As for the usual argument that, as a counter to accepting neg. yields, Japanese savers could just put their money under a mattress, we all know they don't have mattresses. :D 

Re: Debt to GDP ratio

Posted: May 12th, 2019, 6:53 pm
by Cuchulainn
Only tatami! If you are expecting a soft landing, have I got news for you.

Image