December 10th, 2007, 7:13 am
Hi,I'm studying the dynamic part of the Hagan document and trying to apply it to piecewise-constant parameters (for equity market). I don't see how to calibrate it. Here is how I understand the development:1. Static SABR: take a basket of options of same maturity and different strikes. The model enables to fit rather well all their implied vols with 3 constant params alpha, rho and nu (through the well-known formula sigma(K,tau)=...)2. Dynamic SABR: should a priori enable to fit a basket of options of different strikes and different maturities. The model has now three time-dependent parameters gamma(t), rho(t) and nu(t), plus the constant alpha.As I understand, Hagan et al. expresses the price of a vanilla option under this dynamic model as a function of two new time-dependent functions eta(s) and v(s). Then it replicates this price by replacing eta(s) and v(s) by constant -average- values eta bar, v bar and eventually theta bar. It shows that with these 3 parameters, the implied vol under the dynamic SABR is of the same form than under the static SABR. Finally, the values of eta bar, v bar and theta bar are obtained as functions of the original time-dependent params gamma(t), rho(t) and nu(t).I applied this to piecewise-constant params gamma(t), rho(t) and nu(t) and obtained the corresponding expressions of eta bar (eq. B37), v bar^2 (eq. B47) and theta bar (eq. B58.d), as functions of all levels gamma(1),...,gamma(n), etc.My problem now is to calibrate these parameters. A full optimization on the whole basket of options and all params of course leads to local min (without speaking of calculation time). Then I thought of bootstrapping but I don't see how to do.Actually, I see a contradiction in all of this: if it was possible to find good values for all levels of the time-dependent params (that is, in order to fit rather well all the calib instruments), then it would be possible to directly find good values of eta bar, v bar and theta bar. In this case, why not directly using them in the static model, by replacing rho and nu (ok, a small extension is needed to insert the theta bar)? In other words, according to me, if the dynamic model could fit a whole vol surface, then the static one should also do. Otherwise, it is not possible for either of them...Am I right, am I wrong...??? I hope to be wrong in fact... Thanks for your help.