May 6th, 2004, 3:59 pm
It's hard to answer this question in general.Liquidity risk is modeled separately than market risk. It's possible to have a positive net present value and still be unable to meet your financial obligations. Liquidity risk charges are a significant fraction of total risk charges for many organizations.Illiquidity is a major difficulty in modeling. For one thing, it means price data are less reliable. For another, it makes a big difference for many models whether you have jumps, when you cannot transact at prices between S(t) and S(t+e), and extremely high volatility, when |S(t+e) - S(t)|/S(t) is a big number but you can transact at intermediate prices.But you are talking about something different, like someone saying they have a "cash flow problem" when they are really insolvent. You are saying you own Asian securities when the Latin American market crashes. Your securities "shouldn't" decline in price, but they do. You don't want to realize the loss, so you say it's a "liquidity problem" and switch from mark-to-market to matrix pricing (mark-to-model). This happens a lot, but it's not a liquidity issue.