March 15th, 2005, 2:56 pm
QuoteOriginally posted by: Grotifantlol - I must admit I'm not 100% convinced..If you doubled your capital every year, why aren't u doing it anymore? Sounds to me as if it's a piece of cake.....The main reason most daytraders fail after a few good years, is because they don't understand why what they were doing worked. They have pattern-recognition, and news-absorption talent, but they don't have a broader theory or economic understanding of the markets. So they don't know how to recognize new opportunities to apply their talents.Also, most of what they do (that is still profitable) cannot be automated and is extremely labor-intensive, but cannot be scaled above a few hundred thousand. This is why they have prop shops like Schoenfeld, All-Tech, Broadway Trading, WorldCo Clearing, and so on. Since successful traders only have one pair of eyes and fingers, they quickly want to bring in their slacker buddies to teach them to do what they do and scale up their operation. They use various types of "market scanners" and other tools that help them find opportunities among thousands of stocks, but there's no real substitute for a person with his ears perked up.I remember, possibly the best of the daytraders during the Internet boom told me he was going to teach me how to trade the NYSE closing imbalances published on Bloomberg. I thought he was going to teach me what to watch for, typical patterns - beginner errors - who knows. Turns out what he should have said was that he was going to teach me "to trade" the closing imbalances, because that's all there was to it. "C" would hit the Bloomberg screen, I'd shout it out, and he'd start punching keys like a monkey with a shaved head wired to the Bloomberg terminal.It just so happened that when the closing imbalances hit the tape, was a good time for the fastest members of the pack to trade trend and scalp a few pennies. You can look inside the rules restricting specialist behavior advertised by the NYSE to populate the book, and develop a theory as to why this might be the case. But these kids never heard of any such thing.I should point out, that this is no different from what George Soros does.
Last edited by
farmer on March 14th, 2005, 11:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.